Explore is a simulated public-markets showcase — nothing here trades for real. Real markets, priced by your friends, live in your groups.

TechPublic showcase

Will a major AI lab release a model that tops today's best benchmark this year?

$1.2M Vol.16 tradersCloses in 89d
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 22Aug 21Sep 19Oct 19

Outcomes

chance
$1.2M Vol.

Order book depth

Illustrative

Explore has no live matching engine — this ladder is synthesized around the current price to show what depth would look like. It is not real resting orders.

BidsSize
  • 60¢668
  • 60¢1213
  • 58¢1518
  • 57¢1854
  • 55¢2275
  • 54¢2479
AsksSize
  • 65¢1204
  • 67¢1096
  • 66¢1562
  • 65¢1396
  • 63¢944
  • 62¢530

Rules & resolution

Resolves Yes if a newly released model sets a new state-of-the-art on a major public benchmark.

Resolution source: public benchmark leaderboard

Market stats

Volume
$1,183,431
Trades
21
Holders (distinct traders)
16